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How Derby day 'shocker'
T O Elvis was selected
Globeform value bet wins at 5-1, 25-1 with bookmakers
From our race preview:
T O ELVIS, a US bred son of Volatile, represents Japan, and he is a fast improving young sprinter. Definitely a horse to respect, he is on a four-race win streak. All his wins have come over 6 furlongs but the way he runs one would not doubt his ability to cover a seventh panel. The streak began in allowance company at Hanshin March '25, whereafter he took a break up to August, when he took a minor event at Chukyo by a length. He did not beat high class rivals on that occasion, but met better horses when winning a similar contest at Hanshin in September; this time outclassing a decent sprinter named Strength by 4 lengths. Strength was coming off two straight minor event wins and he ran second twice in such company on his following starts. T O Elvis was now beginning to look really smart but he had still not been in a race qualifying him for a Globeform ratings (his provisional mark was GF 110p).
Stepped up in class in the Capella Stakes, a 16-runner G3 event over 1200 metres at Nakayama in December, the Daisuke Takayanagi trainee put up his best performance to date. After travelling really well held up at the back, he powered home by 5 lengths from Yamanin Cerchi while stopping the clocks in a sharp 1:08.6 and thus getting close to the track record. He moved up to Globeform 119p on that occasion. The formlines are positive and there is probably better still to come from this 4yo. His runner-up in the Capella had won three Listed races on the trot going into the race and Ecoro Azel, who was beaten 6 lengths in third place, ran second in another stakes event next time out, then won a stakes himself.
Don't let it put you off this horse that Yamanin Cerchi and Gabby's Sister (who as fourth in the Capella) were both well beaten when 12th and 6th respectively in the Riyadh Dirt Sprint in Saudi Arabia in February; a race won by Bob Baffert's Imagination. Yamanin Cerchi ran poorly there but Gabby's Sister went down by 8 1/2 lengths behind Imagination, beaten 1 3/4 lengths further than in her Capella defeat behind T O Elvis (who had more up his sleeve). Gabby's Sister performed better in the Capella than she did in Saudi Arabia, and this is an interesting comparison; it suggests that T O Elvis is just as good as Imagination. The reason he bypassed the Saudi Cup meeting was that his connections decided to wait for the Golden Shaheen on Dubai World Cup day; but they changed that plan due to travel / safety issues. This means that T O Elvis will come off a long break when he goes for the Churchill Downs Stakes but it's probably not a cause for concern; he had been rested for more than three months when winning the Capella and his allowance win in August came after an even longer layoff. He is an interesting contender. Morning line 30-1 is way too big and he is well worth a bet.
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Globeform Success
The Seabiscuit Handicap at Del Mar: 68-1 winner Call Sign Seven | Download preview
Cecil B. DeMille St. | 11-2 winner Unrivaled Time, topping 140-1 Trifecta | Download preview
River City S: 12-1 winner Wolfie's Dynaghost and 240-1 Exacta hit with 3 lines | Download preview
Breeders' Cup Juvenile Fillies' Turf: 21-1 winner Balantina top rated selection | Download preview
Sycamore: 34-1 win, 268-1 Exacta boxing 2 horses, 1073-1 Tri playing 24 lines | Download preview
Prix de l'Arc Triomphe: 16-1 winner Daryz, 465-1 Trifecta hit with 30 lines | Download preview
Pennsylvania Derby: Straight 113-1 Trifecta hit, 26-1 Exacta, 997-1 Superfecta | Download preview
The Vigil Stakes: 70-1 Trifecta hit with just 6 lines, 17-1 Exacta with 3 lines | Download preview
The Forego Stakes: 193-1 Trifecta hit playing just 12 lines. Nice $1820 profit | Download preview
The Hall of Fame Stakes: 428-1 Superfecta & 172-1 Trifecta from 6 lines | Download preview
Caress Stakes: 279-1 Trifecta | 35-1 Exacta. A-horse 1st with B-horse 2nd | Download preview
117-1 Saratoga double from playing just 2 lines: Leslie's Rose & Simulate | Download preview
Saratoga 3yo Turf Allowance: 16-1 winner Simulate; another great value bet | Download preview
Shuvee Stakes: Leslie's Rose a confident selection, 4-1 Globeform winner | Download preview
Stephen Foster: Mindframe wins: Superfecta hit stone cold with just 1 line | Download preview
Kelly's Landing Stakes: Nice 5-1 winner Roll On Big Joe for Globeform | Download preview
Chicago S: 670-1 Super & 194-1 Tri using 5-2 selection over B/C-horses | Download preview
Eatontown Stakes: 4-1 Whiskey Decision & 17-1 Exacta w / Maggie Go | Download preview
Manhattan Stakes: 6-1 winner Deterministic, 25-1 Exacta with Integration | Download preview
Jaipur Stakes: 25-1 Exacta from playing 6 lines: Ag Bullet / My Boy Prince | Download preview
Belmont Stakes: Globeform ratings give 1st, 2nd, 3rd, 4th in correct order | Download preview
Globeform previews ||| samples
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Some memorable Globeform winners
Breeders' Cup Friday
21-1 Balantina | 48-1 Double: Balantina & Ted Noffey | 76-1 Pick 3: Balantina & Ted Noffey & Gstaad
Breeders Cup Saturday
311-1 Trifecta: Notable Speech, Formidable Man, The Lion in Winter (from 42 lines)
59-1 Exacta: Notable Speech, Formidable Man (from 7 lines)
260-1 Trifecta: Globeform's top 3; Gezora, She's Feels Pretty, Diamond Rain ran 1-2-3
5-1 Winner Shisospicy, 32-1 Exacta: Shisospicy, Ag Bullet (from 2 lines)
17-1 Double: Shisospicy - Bentornato (from 2 lines)
18-1 Exacta: Bentornato, Imagination (from 4 lines)
5-2 Winner: Notable Speech, 9-5 Winner: Bentornato
Oct. 10... She Feels Pretty was recommended as a good future bet for the Filly & Mare Turf
Oct. 16... Gezora was recommended as a second value future bet for the Filly & Mare Turf
Nov. 1... Gezora & She Feels Pretty ran 1st & 2nd in the Filly & Mare Turf | 78-1 Exacta
Sycamore Stakes
Desvio won at 34-1; 268-1 Exacta and
1073-1 Trifecta also hit (with 24 lines)
Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe
selection DARYZ won at 16-1 | 465-1 Trifecta hit with 30 lines
Earlier in the 2025 season
279-1 Trifecta Future Is Now > Zeitlos > Time to Dazzle 117-1 Double Simulate & Leslie's Rose
35-1 Exacta Future Is Now > Zeitlos 32-1 Mutaawid (top ranked) 25-1 Exacta Determinstic > Integration
75-1 Exacta J B Strikes Back > Tarantino Exacta 16-1 Simulate 16-1 J B Strikes Back
23-1 Exacta | Kentucky Derby from just 6 lines using three horses
11-1 Lady Claypoole 46-1 Lady Claypoole > Mrs Astor Exacta 126-1 Florida Oaks Trifecta from 2 lines
13-1 Macho Music 667-1 Florida Oaks Superfecta (1 key horse over 4 horses only) 40-1 Oaklawn H. Tri straight
10-1 Eamonn 6-1 Fort Washington 18-1 Fort Washington > Major Dude Exacta from 1 line 9-1 Dreaming of Mo
7-1 Smokin' T 9-2 Epona's Hope 8-1 Vixen > Ramsey Pond Exacta from 1 line
6-1 Deterministic 4-1 Leslie's Rose 4-1 Special Wan 4-1 Beach Bomb
